Update on the expected weather system for the Gulf

Models are in line still with a strong system affecting parts of the Arabian Gulf including parts of Kuwait & the eastern province of Saudi Arabia between the 25th of November & the 4th of December . At the moment there is still a discrepancy between the American and European models on the location of the system, the GFS American models are placing the system more to the north while that European model is shifting it further south. The bottom line we still have few more days for this system to get more accurate. The thing to note though is that the amount of rain predicted over the Gulf is unprecedented if it holds up. 300 millimeters within 7 days is something to seriously watch out for. Will keep you updated as we get closer to the end of next week. 

GFS model run for the Gulf is still holding on for a strong system by the 23rd of November to 30th.

The GFS weather forecasting model run is still holding on for a very strong system over much of the Gulf between 23rd to 30th of November. We will Keep updating this system in the coming few days to track it’s intensity and accuracy. For now we can maintain that it must be under watch. Current models predicting very heavy rain over Kuwait running down the east coast of Saudi Arabia towards Bahrain and Qatar. If the predictions hold, we can expect flood like conditions. Accumulated precipitation as seen in the attached for that period. 

Starting the Winter season for 2016/17

Finaly there is hope for the Gulf including Saudi Arabia , Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar. A system might develop between the 22nd and the 30th of Nov moving south east, this system might produce heavy rains in parts of the eastern province , mostly over Jubail and the the border with Kuwait, the system is still under watch and will update you further.